原文发表于美国时间2018-3-23

波动率指数(VX)昨日上涨30%，突破了下跌趋势阻力线（4小时图），并继续冲击关键心理点位20的阻力线。值得注意的是，VX在2月早期暴涨后已经高位运行一个半月。虽然4小时随机指标表现疲软，但VX在3月份的次低点高于1月份的低点，并且VX在复制其2月初的涨势，今天可能出现适当的回调。

另一个值得注意的是，3月份的低点与2月份大涨的76.4%斐波那契回调点位大致相符。周线和日线RSI，随机指标和MACD处于底部，将反弹或巩固近期的上涨。我在昨天获利了结多头头寸，并将在绿色区域（日线图）再次做多，目标瞄准下周初的红色区域。如果我是波动交易者，琥珀色/黄色区域是我可能设置止损点的位置（尽管在个人账户中我很少持有隔夜头寸，我将止损设置的更窄）。

 波动率指数（CBOE VX Apr18）周线/日线/ 4小时图

这篇文章已被翻译成中文。原英文作者Darren Chu,CFA,首席金融分析师（TradablePatterns创建人）。如英文版本和中文版本之间有任何不一致，以英文版本为准。该文章中的分析仅为提供信息，不是也不应该被视为推销或招揽购买任何证券。文章中讨论的一般市场活动、行业或领域趋势、或其它基于广泛的经济或政治条件的内容，不应被解释为研究结果或投资建议。讨论中提及包括的特定证券、商品、货币、或其它产品均不构成IB推荐购买，出售或持有此类投资的建议。本材料不是也不意图针对个别客户的特定财务条件、投资目标或要求。在根据本材料采取行动之前，您应该考虑是否适合您的具体情况，并在必要时寻求专业建议。

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