美国国债（ZB）昨天在经历了起始下跌之后激增，并且鉴于ZB正在突破周图表上自去年九月下旬以来形成的下降通道阻力线，今天在美国晨间交易时段持续走高。美国国债（ZB）也明显形成四周内的第一个绿色周烛台分布。尽管几个月以来我一直适中看跌美国国债，但是在接下来的几周至一个月左右的时间内，美国国债将会表现出良好的上行走势，目前它已经成功突破周图表的下行趋势阻力线。日和4小时的RSI（相对强弱指标），Stochastics（综合指标）和MACD（指数平滑异同平均线）均触底，反弹或巩固了最近的涨幅。尽管走势看涨，很不幸的是周RSI（相对强弱指标）和Stochastics（综合指标）在所附图表中没有足够的历史数据因而无法读取更多信息。在昨天获利平仓做多之后，我目前持平。今天我将再次进入日图表的绿色区域对任一微弱的下跌采取盘中做多，并在周五之前将上行目标瞄准在红色区域。

美国国债（CME ZB 三月17） 周/日/4小时/小时图表

点击下方链接查看BUXL和大豆的技术分析：

https://tradablepatterns.com/2017/02/08/us-treasury-bond-zb-breaking-weekly-chart-downchannel-resistance/

US Treasury Bond (ZB) Breaking Weekly Chart Downchannel Resistance

The US Treasury Bond (ZB) surged yesterday after an initial dip, and continues pushing higher in today's US morning as ZB is breaking above a downchannel resistance that has held since late September (on the weekly chart).  ZB is also notably forming its first green weekly candle in 4 weeks.  Although I'm moderately bearish looking several months out on ZB, for the next several weeks to month or so, ZB stands to provide decent upside now that it has successfully broken above downchannel resistance (on the weekly chart).  The daily and 4hr RSI, Stochastics and MACD are bottomish, rallying or consolidating recent gains.  Although bullish-looking, the weekly RSI and Stochastics unfortunately do not have enough history in the accompanied chart to be worth reading too much into.  I am flat after profitably closing longs yesterday, and will look to re-enter long intraday on any shallow dip in the green zone (of the daily chart) today with an upside target of the red zone by Friday.

这篇文章已被翻译成中文。原英文作者Darren Chu, CFA, 首席金融分析师（Tradable Patterns 创建人）。如英文版本和中文版本之间有任何不一致，以英文版本为准。

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